OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates OFI Crete to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives OFI Crete 50% at home, a draw 29% and Asteras Tripolis 21%, so its call is 1: OFI Crete to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 30% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for OFI Crete and 1.0 for Asteras Tripolis; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
OFI Crete
Attack 6th of 14, defence 12th of 14 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Olympiakos 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Kifisia 2026-09-06
- L 1-2 at Aris 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 v Volos NFC 2026-08-23
- W 3-1 v Volos NFC 2026-05-17
Asteras Tripolis
Attack 11th of 14, defence 9th of 14 in the league.
- D 1-1 v AEK 2026-09-13
- L 0-2 v Iraklis 2026-09-07
- L 0-1 v Olympiakos 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 at Panetolikos 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Panetolikos 2026-05-21
From 499 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 20 Sep
- Levadeiakos vs Olympiakos · FT 0–1
- Volos NFC vs AEK · FT 1–2
- Kalamata vs Panathinaikos · FT 0–1
- Panetolikos vs PAOK · FT 1–3