Kalamata vs Panathinaikos prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Panathinaikos to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Kalamata 13% at home, a draw 24% and Panathinaikos 63%, so its call is 2: Panathinaikos to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 6% / 13% / 80%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kalamata and 2.0 for Panathinaikos; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Kalamata, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kalamata
Attack 9th of 14, defence 14th of 14 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Volos NFC 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Atromitos 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Panetolikos 2026-08-29
- L 2-3 v Aris 2026-08-22
Panathinaikos
Attack 3rd of 14, defence 3rd of 14 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Panetolikos 2026-09-13
- W 3-1 v Kifisia 2026-09-10
- W 3-1 v PAOK 2026-09-06
- W 2-0 at Levadeiakos 2026-08-31
- D 2-2 v PAOK 2026-05-17
From 499 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 20 Sep
- Levadeiakos vs Olympiakos · FT 0–1
- Volos NFC vs AEK · FT 1–2
- OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis · FT 2–2
- Panetolikos vs PAOK · FT 1–3