Nice vs Lille prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lille to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Nice 24% at home, a draw 28% and Lille 48%, so its call is 2: Lille to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 26% / 44%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Nice and 1.4 for Lille; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nice
Attack 14th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Auxerre 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Le Mans 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Paris FC 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Lorient 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Metz 2026-05-17
Lille
Attack 8th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Troyes 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 at Toulouse 2026-09-03
- D 2-2 v Paris SG 2026-08-28
- W 2-0 at Angers 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 v Auxerre 2026-05-17
From 654 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 20 Sep
- Auxerre vs Brest · FT 2–1
- Marseille vs Paris SG · FT 1–2