Auxerre vs Brest prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Auxerre to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Auxerre 42% at home, a draw 26% and Brest 31%, so its call is 1: Auxerre to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 26% / 41%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Auxerre and 1.3 for Brest; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Auxerre
Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Nice 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Lyon 2026-09-04
- L 1-3 v Angers 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 at Lens 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Lille 2026-05-17
Brest
Attack 11th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Paris SG 2026-09-13
- W 2-1 at Le Havre 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Toulouse 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Angers 2026-05-17
From 654 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 20 Sep
- Nice vs Lille · FT 2–1
- Marseille vs Paris SG · FT 1–2