Man City vs Sunderland prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Man City 65% at home, a draw 23% and Sunderland 12%, so its call is 1: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 73% / 17% / 10%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Man City and 0.7 for Sunderland; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Man City
Attack 1st of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Man United 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Coventry 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 at Crystal Palace 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 v Bournemouth 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Aston Villa 2026-05-24
Sunderland
Attack 19th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Arsenal 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Brentford 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 at Ipswich 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-24
From 806 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 20 Sep
- Bournemouth vs Liverpool · FT 0–1
- Leeds vs Crystal Palace · FT 0–0
- Fulham vs Man United · FT 1–1