Brit Predictor

Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction

England Premier League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeBournemouth 0–1 LiverpoolResult 2

Who wins?

BournemouthDrawLiverpool
Model 12 ✓
36%26%38%
Market 2 ✓
30%25%45%

Brit Predictor's model rates Liverpool to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Bournemouth 36% at home, a draw 26% and Liverpool 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 25% / 45%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bournemouth and 1.6 for Liverpool; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score64%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Bournemouth

Attack 9th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.

DDDLD
  • D 2-2 v Brentford 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Everton 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Man City 2026-08-23
  • D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-24

Liverpool

Attack 2nd of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.

DWDDD
  • D 0-0 v Fulham 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Ipswich 2026-09-04
  • D 2-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-08-29
  • D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-08-23
  • D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-05-24

From 806 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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