Venezia vs Lazio prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lazio to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Venezia 20% at home, a draw 25% and Lazio 55%, so its call is 2: Lazio to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 26% / 49%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Venezia and 1.6 for Lazio; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Venezia, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Venezia
Attack 18th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-4 v Fiorentina 2026-09-11
- L 2-3 at Frosinone 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Milan 2026-08-28
- L 0-2 v Lecce 2026-08-23
- L 2-3 v Juventus 2025-05-25
Lazio
Attack 10th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Milan 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2026-09-07
- W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Bologna 2026-08-24
- W 2-1 v Pisa 2026-05-23
From 801 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 19 Sep
- Bologna vs Torino · FT 1–1
- Udinese vs Cagliari · FT 0–1
- Roma vs Inter · FT 2–2