Burton vs Mansfield prediction
England League One · Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burton to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Burton 37% at home, a draw 27% and Mansfield 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 27% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Burton and 1.2 for Mansfield; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Burton
Attack 17th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Oxford 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Cambridge 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 at Notts County 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Leicester 2026-08-22
Mansfield
Attack 14th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Huddersfield 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Bradford 2026-09-05
- L 0-5 at Reading 2026-09-02
- W 5-2 v Luton 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 at Peterboro 2026-08-22
From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 19 Sep
- Barnsley vs Leicester · FT 1–1
- Wigan vs Wycombe · FT 0–1
- Reading vs Notts County · FT 2–0
- Peterboro vs Doncaster · FT 0–2
- Oxford vs Cambridge · FT 1–1
- Sheffield Weds vs Stockport · FT 0–0
- Leyton Orient vs Stevenage · FT 1–0
- Bromley vs Huddersfield · FT 2–1
- Blackpool vs Plymouth · FT 2–4
- Luton vs Bradford · FT 0–1