Aris vs Iraklis prediction
Greece Super League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Aris to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Aris 54% at home, a draw 30% and Iraklis 17%, so its call is 1: Aris to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 25% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Aris and 0.8 for Iraklis; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Iraklis, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Aris
Attack 8th of 14, defence 5th of 14 in the league.
- L 0-2 at PAOK 2026-09-13
- L 0-5 at AEK 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v OFI Crete 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Kalamata 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-05-17
Iraklis
Attack 10th of 14, defence 10th of 14 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Atromitos 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Asteras Tripolis 2026-09-07
- D 1-1 at Volos NFC 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at AEK 2026-08-22
From 497 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Atromitos vs Kifisia · FT 1–2