Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 18 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wolfsburg to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Wolfsburg 49% at home, a draw 23% and Darmstadt 27%, so its call is 1: Wolfsburg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 19% / 16%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wolfsburg and 1.3 for Darmstadt; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Wolfsburg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wolfsburg
Attack 5th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at St Pauli 2026-09-12
- D 4-4 v Cottbus 2026-09-05
- W 5-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Hannover 2026-08-16
- D 0-0 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-08
Darmstadt
Attack 10th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Bielefeld 2026-09-11
- L 0-3 at Kaiserslautern 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Hannover 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Dresden 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 v Holstein Kiel 2026-08-08
From 657 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Fri 18 Sep
- Greuther Furth vs Magdeburg · FT 1–1