Pau FC vs Dunkerque prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 18 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dunkerque to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Pau FC 30% at home, a draw 23% and Dunkerque 48%, so its call is 2: Dunkerque to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Pau FC and 1.9 for Dunkerque; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Pau FC
Attack 8th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Montpellier 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Sochaux 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 at Rodez 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 v Nancy 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Dijon 2026-08-14
Dunkerque
Attack 4th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v St Etienne 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Clermont 2026-09-04
- L 0-2 at Nancy 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 v Montpellier 2026-08-21
- D 3-3 at Reims 2026-08-14
From 665 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 18 Sep
- Reims vs Montpellier · FT 1–1
- Rodez vs Nancy · FT 3–4
- Annecy vs Dijon · FT 1–2
- Grenoble vs Clermont · FT 1–1
- Laval vs Sochaux · FT 1–1