Groningen vs Zwolle prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 18 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Groningen to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Groningen 58% at home, a draw 24% and Zwolle 19%, so its call is 1: Groningen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 20% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Groningen and 1.1 for Zwolle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Groningen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Twente 2026-09-06
- L 2-3 v For Sittard 2026-08-28
- L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-23
- W 4-1 at Den Haag 2026-08-16
Zwolle
Attack 15th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-7 v Feyenoord 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-09-04
- L 1-3 v Nijmegen 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Heerenveen 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 at Twente 2026-08-16
From 666 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.