Brentford vs Chelsea prediction
England Premier League · Friday 18 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Brentford to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Brentford 41% at home, a draw 26% and Chelsea 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.7 for Brentford and 1.5 for Chelsea; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Brentford
Attack 7th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Bournemouth 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Sunderland 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-08-30
- W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-24
Chelsea
Attack 4th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Hull 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Arsenal 2026-09-06
- W 4-3 v Brighton 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Fulham 2026-08-24
- L 1-2 at Sunderland 2026-05-24
From 800 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.