Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Friday 18 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bayern Munich to win as the most likely result (90%). It gives Bayern Munich 90% at home, a draw 7% and Union Berlin 3%, so its call is 1: Bayern Munich to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 96% / 3% / 1%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.8 for Bayern Munich and 0.7 for Union Berlin; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 83%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Bayern Munich
Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Elversberg 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-05
- W 5-1 v Stuttgart 2026-08-28
- W 5-1 v FC Koln 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Wolfsburg 2026-05-09
Union Berlin
Attack 16th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Schalke 04 2026-09-11
- L 0-4 at Leverkusen 2026-09-05
- D 3-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Augsburg 2026-05-16
- W 3-1 at Mainz 2026-05-10
From 639 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.