Kidderminster vs Gateshead prediction
England National League · Wednesday 16 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Kidderminster to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Kidderminster 57% at home, a draw 22% and Gateshead 21%, so its call is 1: Kidderminster to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 19% / 12%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Kidderminster and 1.1 for Gateshead; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kidderminster, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kidderminster
Attack 11th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Hartlepool 2026-09-11
- W 4-1 at Wealdstone 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Barrow 2026-08-31
- W 3-1 at Southend 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Aldershot 2026-08-22
Gateshead
Attack 21st of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Forest Green 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Solihull 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Harrogate 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 v Sutton 2026-08-28
- L 0-3 at Yeovil 2026-08-22
From 1197 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Wed 16 Sep
- Altrincham vs Hartlepool · FT 2–1
- Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood · FT 1–2