Stenhousemuir vs Partick prediction
Scotland Championship · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stenhousemuir to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Stenhousemuir 37% at home, a draw 35% and Partick 28%, so its call is 1X: Stenhousemuir to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 16% / 23% / 61%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stenhousemuir and 1.0 for Partick; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stenhousemuir
Attack 3rd of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Livingston 2026-09-04
- W 3-1 v Inverness C 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 v Morton 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at Raith Rvs 2026-08-01
Partick
Attack 4th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Ayr 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v Queens Park 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Inverness C 2026-08-21
- W 2-0 v Livingston 2026-08-07
- W 1-0 at Morton 2026-08-01
From 389 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.