Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction
Scotland Premiership · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Motherwell to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Motherwell 61% at home, a draw 24% and Aberdeen 15%, so its call is 1: Motherwell to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 24% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Motherwell and 0.7 for Aberdeen; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Motherwell
Attack 5th of 12, defence 4th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Rangers 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Dundee United 2026-09-02
- D 3-3 at St Mirren 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Falkirk 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 at Hibernian 2026-08-02
Aberdeen
Attack 11th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Kilmarnock 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Celtic 2026-09-02
- L 0-1 v Rangers 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Dundee 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 v Hearts 2026-08-01
From 489 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Tue 15 Sep
- Hibernian vs Kilmarnock · FT 0–1
- Falkirk vs Hearts · FT 2–1