Middlesbrough vs Millwall prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Middlesbrough 47% at home, a draw 28% and Millwall 25%, so its call is 1: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 18% / 12%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Middlesbrough and 1.1 for Millwall; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Middlesbrough
Attack 4th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 4-3 v Norwich 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at QPR 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-02
- W 3-1 v West Brom 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Blackburn 2026-08-22
Millwall
Attack 9th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Blackburn 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 v Bolton 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 v Wrexham 2026-09-02
- L 1-5 at Southampton 2026-08-29
- W 3-0 v Norwich 2026-08-22
From 1185 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 15 Sep
- Bristol City vs Lincoln · FT 0–1