Alaves vs Valencia prediction
Spain La Liga · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alaves to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Alaves 50% at home, a draw 26% and Valencia 24%, so its call is 1: Alaves to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 26% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alaves and 1.0 for Valencia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Alaves
Attack 12th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Santander 2026-09-12
- W 5-2 v Osasuna 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 v Villarreal 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 at Vallecano 2026-08-20
- W 3-0 v Getafe 2026-08-15
Valencia
Attack 18th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Sevilla 2026-09-11
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 at La Coruna 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 v Betis 2026-08-25
- D 0-0 v Celta 2026-08-22
From 811 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Tue 15 Sep
- Vallecano vs Espanol · FT 2–1
- Elche vs Real Madrid · FT 2–3