Como vs Parma prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 14 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Como to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Como 65% at home, a draw 22% and Parma 12%, so its call is 1: Como to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 13% / 6%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Como and 0.6 for Parma; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Como
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 4-1 at Genoa 2026-09-04
- W 2-1 at Napoli 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Udinese 2026-08-22
- W 4-1 at Cremonese 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Parma 2026-05-17
Parma
Attack 19th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Monza 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Cagliari 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Sassuolo 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 at Como 2026-05-17
From 797 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 14 Sep
- Torino vs Roma · FT 0–2
- Inter vs Udinese · FT 5–3