Waregem vs Charleroi prediction
Belgium Pro League · Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Waregem to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Waregem 43% at home, a draw 27% and Charleroi 30%, so its call is 1: Waregem to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Waregem and 1.2 for Charleroi; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Waregem
Attack 5th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Kortrijk 2026-09-06
- D 2-2 at Westerlo 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Beveren 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at St. Gilloise 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 v Genk 2026-08-09
Charleroi
Attack 8th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 v St. Gilloise 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Kortrijk 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Mechelen 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 at Lommel SK 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-08-09
From 673 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sun 13 Sep
- Club Brugge vs Antwerp · FT 3–1
- Genk vs Gent · FT 1–1
- RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk · FT 3–0