Man United vs Man City prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Man United 25% at home, a draw 26% and Man City 49%, so its call is 2: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 25% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Man United and 1.8 for Man City; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Man United
Attack 4th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Everton 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Ipswich 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Hull 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 at Brighton 2026-05-24
- W 3-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-05-17
Man City
Attack 1st of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Coventry 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 at Crystal Palace 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 v Bournemouth 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Aston Villa 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-05-19
From 797 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 13 Sep
- Coventry vs Brighton · FT 0–5