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Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel prediction

Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeHeidenheim 1–0 Holstein KielResult 1

Who wins?

HeidenheimDrawHolstein Kiel
Model 1 ✓
50%22%28%
Market 1 ✓
45%24%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Heidenheim to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Heidenheim 50% at home, a draw 22% and Holstein Kiel 28%, so its call is 1: Heidenheim to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 24% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Heidenheim and 1.5 for Holstein Kiel; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 68%. Careful: there is little recent data on Heidenheim, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.0 – 1.5
GoalsOver 2.5 · 68%
Both teams score68%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Heidenheim

Attack 1st of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

WWLW
  • W 1-0 at Greuther Furth 2026-09-06
  • W 5-3 v Dresden 2026-08-29
  • L 1-4 at Hertha 2026-08-15
  • W 4-3 v Osnabruck 2026-08-08

Holstein Kiel

Attack 16th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

DLDDL
  • D 2-2 v Nurnberg 2026-09-05
  • L 0-2 at Magdeburg 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 v St Pauli 2026-08-14
  • D 2-2 at Darmstadt 2026-08-08
  • L 1-2 at Dresden 2026-05-17

From 654 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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