Stranraer vs Dumbarton prediction
Scotland League Two · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stranraer to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Stranraer 54% at home, a draw 27% and Dumbarton 19%, so its call is 1: Stranraer to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 23% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stranraer and 0.8 for Dumbarton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stranraer
Attack 8th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Forfar 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 v Kelty Hearts 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Stirling 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Spartans 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 v Annan Athletic 2026-08-08
Dumbarton
Attack 10th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Elgin 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 at Annan Athletic 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 at Kelty Hearts 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 v Edinburgh City 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Clyde 2026-08-08
From 390 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League Two games on Sat 12 Sep
- Edinburgh City vs Stirling · FT 7–3
- Spartans vs Forfar · FT 5–1
- Annan Athletic vs Elgin · FT 2–0
- Clyde vs Kelty Hearts · FT 4–1