St Pauli vs Wolfsburg prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wolfsburg to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives St Pauli 37% at home, a draw 23% and Wolfsburg 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.7 for St Pauli and 1.7 for Wolfsburg; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, Wolfsburg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Pauli
Attack 13th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Bielefeld 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Holstein Kiel 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-09
Wolfsburg
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- D 4-4 v Cottbus 2026-09-05
- W 5-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Hannover 2026-08-16
- D 0-0 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-08
From 650 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Bochum vs Greuther Furth · FT 1–1
- Braunschweig vs Dresden · FT 2–2
- Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern · FT 3–0