Samsunspor vs Corum prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Samsunspor to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Samsunspor 55% at home, a draw 25% and Corum 20%, so its call is 1: Samsunspor to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 27% / 32%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Samsunspor and 1.1 for Corum; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Corum, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Samsunspor
Attack 6th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Kocaelispor 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 v Fenerbahce 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 at Rizespor 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Goztep 2026-08-17
- W 3-0 v Goztep 2026-05-16
Corum
Attack 9th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Eyupspor 2026-09-06
- L 2-6 at Besiktas 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 v Kasimpasa 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Galatasaray 2026-08-14
From 685 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sat 12 Sep
- Eyupspor vs Rizespor · FT 0–2
- Alanyaspor vs Goztep · FT 2–2
- Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor · FT 1–0