Ayr vs Inverness C prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ayr to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Ayr 47% at home, a draw 32% and Inverness C 21%, so its call is 1: Ayr to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 29% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ayr and 0.9 for Inverness C; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Inverness C, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ayr
Attack 5th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Partick 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Morton 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Raith Rvs 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-08
- W 2-0 v Arbroath 2026-08-01
Inverness C
Attack 10th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Raith Rvs 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Partick 2026-08-21
- D 0-0 at Arbroath 2026-08-08
- D 0-0 v Dunfermline 2026-08-01
From 386 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 12 Sep
- Dunfermline vs Queens Park · FT 2–0
- Raith Rvs vs Arbroath · FT 4–0