Airdrie Utd vs Alloa prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alloa to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Airdrie Utd 24% at home, a draw 30% and Alloa 46%, so its call is 2: Alloa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 28% / 32%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Airdrie Utd and 1.4 for Alloa; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Airdrie Utd, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Airdrie Utd
Attack 9th of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Queen of Sth 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v East Fife 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 v Ross County 2026-08-22
- L 0-4 at Hamilton 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 v East Kilbride 2026-08-08
Alloa
Attack 4th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Cove Rangers 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Peterhead 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Queen of Sth 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Montrose 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Hamilton 2026-08-08
From 389 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 12 Sep
- East Kilbride vs Peterhead · FT 3–1
- Montrose vs Cove Rangers · FT 2–1
- Queen of Sth vs East Fife · FT 1–1