Sevilla vs Valencia prediction
Spain La Liga · Friday 11 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sevilla to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Sevilla 47% at home, a draw 25% and Valencia 27%, so its call is 1: Sevilla to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 26% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sevilla and 1.1 for Valencia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sevilla
Attack 14th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Espanol 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 v Ath Madrid 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 at Ath Bilbao 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Vallecano 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Celta 2026-05-23
Valencia
Attack 17th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 at La Coruna 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 v Betis 2026-08-25
- D 0-0 v Celta 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Barcelona 2026-05-23
From 801 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.