Morton vs Livingston prediction
Scotland Championship · Friday 11 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Livingston to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Morton 22% at home, a draw 32% and Livingston 46%, so its call is 2: Livingston to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 21% / 65%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Morton and 1.4 for Livingston; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Morton
Attack 8th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Queens Park 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Ayr 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Arbroath 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 v Partick 2026-08-01
Livingston
Attack 4th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-09-04
- L 0-1 at Arbroath 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Dunfermline 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Partick 2026-08-07
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-08-01
From 385 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.