Mechelen vs Anderlecht prediction
Belgium Pro League · Friday 11 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Anderlecht to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Mechelen 33% at home, a draw 26% and Anderlecht 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 24% / 54%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mechelen and 1.5 for Anderlecht; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Mechelen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 v Westerlo 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Charleroi 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Standard 2026-08-16
- L 0-2 at Gent 2026-08-09
Anderlecht
Attack 7th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Genk 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 v Kortrijk 2026-09-03
- L 0-3 at St. Gilloise 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Beveren 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-09
From 668 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.