Darmstadt vs Bielefeld prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 11 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Darmstadt to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Darmstadt 46% at home, a draw 24% and Bielefeld 30%, so its call is 1: Darmstadt to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 26% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Darmstadt and 1.4 for Bielefeld; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Darmstadt
Attack 10th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Kaiserslautern 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Hannover 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Dresden 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 v Holstein Kiel 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 v Paderborn 2026-05-17
Bielefeld
Attack 9th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v St Pauli 2026-09-04
- L 1-4 at Nurnberg 2026-08-29
- W 3-0 v Cottbus 2026-08-16
- L 1-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-08-08
- W 6-1 v Hertha 2026-05-17
From 648 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Fri 11 Sep
- Nurnberg vs Hannover · FT 2–1