Besiktas vs Erzurumspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Besiktas to win as the most likely result (73%). It gives Besiktas 73% at home, a draw 19% and Erzurumspor 8%, so its call is 1: Besiktas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 83% / 12% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Besiktas and 0.7 for Erzurumspor; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Besiktas
Attack 4th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Fenerbahce 2026-09-05
- W 6-2 v Corum 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 at Alanyaspor 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 v Eyupspor 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 at Rizespor 2026-05-15
Erzurumspor
Attack 17th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Konyaspor 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 v Galatasaray 2026-08-21
- L 0-3 at Amedspor 2026-08-16
From 684 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.