Twente vs Telstar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Wednesday 9 September 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Twente to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Twente 62% at home, a draw 22% and Telstar 17%, so its call is 1: Twente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 12% / 7%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Twente and 1.0 for Telstar; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Twente
Attack 6th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Groningen 2026-09-06
- W 4-1 at Cambuur 2026-08-30
- W 3-1 v Zwolle 2026-08-16
- L 0-1 at Heerenveen 2026-08-09
- L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-17
Telstar
Attack 12th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Cambuur 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 v Ajax 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-14
- W 2-1 at Nijmegen 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 at Volendam 2026-05-17
From 655 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.