Nijmegen vs Excelsior prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Tuesday 8 September 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nijmegen to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Nijmegen 54% at home, a draw 23% and Excelsior 23%, so its call is 1: Nijmegen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 24% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Nijmegen and 1.3 for Excelsior; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nijmegen
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Feyenoord 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Zwolle 2026-08-29
- W 4-1 at Willem II 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 v Telstar 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-17
Excelsior
Attack 11th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Willem II 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-15
- W 4-0 at Cambuur 2026-08-07
- W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-17
From 653 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Tue 8 Sep
- Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 3–3