Palermo vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy Serie B · Monday 7 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Palermo to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Palermo 63% at home, a draw 25% and Sampdoria 12%, so its call is 1: Palermo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 23% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Palermo and 0.6 for Sampdoria; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Palermo
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Arezzo 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Catanzaro 2026-05-01
- D 1-1 at Reggiana 2026-04-25
Sampdoria
Attack 19th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 at Reggiana 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Sudtirol 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 at Cesena 2026-04-25
From 789 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.