Brit Predictor

Cagliari vs Lecce prediction

Italy Serie A · Monday 7 September 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeCagliari 1–0 LecceResult 1

Who wins?

CagliariDrawLecce
Model 1 ✓
46%30%24%
Market 1 ✓
43%31%26%

Brit Predictor's model rates Cagliari to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Cagliari 46% at home, a draw 30% and Lecce 24%, so its call is 1: Cagliari to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 31% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cagliari and 0.8 for Lecce; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 68%.

Expected goals1.2 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 68%
Both teams score38%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Cagliari

Attack 15th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.

LWWWL
  • L 0-1 v Inter 2026-08-30
  • W 1-0 at Parma 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 at Milan 2026-05-24
  • W 2-1 v Torino 2026-05-17
  • L 0-2 v Udinese 2026-05-09

Lecce

Attack 20th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.

LWWWL
  • L 0-4 v Roma 2026-08-31
  • W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-08-23
  • W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-05-24
  • W 3-2 at Sassuolo 2026-05-17
  • L 0-1 v Juventus 2026-05-09

From 788 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Mon 7 Sep

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