Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis prediction
Greece Super League · Monday 7 September 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Asteras Tripolis to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Asteras Tripolis 48% at home, a draw 31% and Iraklis 21%, so its call is 1: Asteras Tripolis to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 28% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Asteras Tripolis and 0.9 for Iraklis; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Iraklis, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Asteras Tripolis
Attack 11th of 14, defence 8th of 14 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Olympiakos 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 at Panetolikos 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Panetolikos 2026-05-21
- D 0-0 v Kifisia 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 v Panserraikos 2026-05-12
Iraklis
Attack 13th of 14, defence 13th of 14 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Volos NFC 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at AEK 2026-08-22
From 488 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.