Troyes vs Strasbourg prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Strasbourg to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Troyes 34% at home, a draw 27% and Strasbourg 39%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Troyes and 1.4 for Strasbourg; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Troyes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Troyes
Attack 15th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Lorient 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Paris FC 2026-08-22
Strasbourg
Attack 7th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Lens 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at Marseille 2026-08-21
- W 5-4 v Monaco 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Brest 2026-05-13
- D 1-1 at Angers 2026-05-10
From 636 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 6 Sep
- Angers vs Rennes · FT 1–2
- Marseille vs Paris FC · FT 2–3