Brit Predictor

Panathinaikos vs PAOK prediction

Greece Super League · Sunday 6 September 2026, 20:30 WAT

Full timePanathinaikos 3–1 PAOKResult 1

Who wins?

PanathinaikosDrawPAOK
Model 12 ✓
32%31%37%
Market 1 ✓
49%27%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates PAOK to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Panathinaikos 32% at home, a draw 31% and PAOK 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 27% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Panathinaikos and 1.3 for PAOK; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score53%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Panathinaikos

Attack 5th of 14, defence 4th of 14 in the league.

WDLLD
  • W 2-0 at Levadeiakos 2026-08-31
  • D 2-2 v PAOK 2026-05-17
  • L 0-1 at Olympiakos 2026-05-13
  • L 1-2 at AEK 2026-05-10
  • D 0-0 v AEK 2026-05-03

PAOK

Attack 1st of 14, defence 3rd of 14 in the league.

WWDDD
  • W 2-1 at Atromitos 2026-08-30
  • W 4-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-08-23
  • D 2-2 at Panathinaikos 2026-05-17
  • D 1-1 v AEK 2026-05-13
  • D 1-1 at Olympiakos 2026-05-10

From 484 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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