Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Sunday 6 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Samsunspor to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Kocaelispor 29% at home, a draw 35% and Samsunspor 36%, so its call is X2: Samsunspor to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 31% / 30%, a call of 1X — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kocaelispor and 1.0 for Samsunspor; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 71%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kocaelispor
Attack 18th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Konyaspor 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Amedspor 2026-08-24
- L 0-2 at Buyuksehyr 2026-08-16
- L 0-1 at Antalyaspor 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Karagumruk 2026-05-09
Samsunspor
Attack 6th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Fenerbahce 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 at Rizespor 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Goztep 2026-08-17
- W 3-0 v Goztep 2026-05-16
- L 0-3 at Buyuksehyr 2026-05-09
From 678 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sun 6 Sep
- Corum vs Eyupspor · FT 3–0
- Kasimpasa vs Amedspor · FT 2–2
- Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi · FT 5–0