St Etienne vs Montpellier prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Etienne to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives St Etienne 46% at home, a draw 29% and Montpellier 25%, so its call is 1: St Etienne to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 21% / 16%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for St Etienne and 0.9 for Montpellier; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Etienne
Attack 1st of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Dijon 2026-08-31
- W 4-0 v Grenoble 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Clermont 2026-08-14
- W 3-0 at Sochaux 2026-08-08
- W 5-0 v Amiens 2026-05-09
Montpellier
Attack 11th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Boulogne 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 at Dunkerque 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Nancy 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at Red Star 2026-05-09
From 652 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 5 Sep
- Metz vs Rodez · FT 4–1
- Reims vs Guingamp · FT 2–2