Charleroi vs St. Gilloise prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St. Gilloise to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Charleroi 18% at home, a draw 29% and St. Gilloise 53%, so its call is 2: St. Gilloise to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 26% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Charleroi and 1.4 for St. Gilloise; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Charleroi
Attack 9th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Kortrijk 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Mechelen 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 at Lommel SK 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 at Standard 2026-05-23
St. Gilloise
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 at St Truiden 2026-09-02
- W 3-0 v Anderlecht 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Waregem 2026-08-15
- W 5-1 at Westerlo 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Anderlecht 2026-05-24
From 660 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Mechelen vs Westerlo · FT 0–4
- St Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere · FT 4–0
- Standard vs Antwerp · FT 1–0