AEK vs Aris prediction
Greece Super League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AEK to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives AEK 62% at home, a draw 27% and Aris 11%, so its call is 1: AEK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 75% / 17% / 8%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for AEK and 0.5 for Aris; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
AEK
Attack 2nd of 14, defence 2nd of 14 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Kifisia 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Iraklis 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Olympiakos 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at PAOK 2026-05-13
- W 2-1 v Panathinaikos 2026-05-10
Aris
Attack 8th of 14, defence 5th of 14 in the league.
- W 2-1 v OFI Crete 2026-08-30
- W 3-2 at Kalamata 2026-08-22
- W 3-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Volos NFC 2026-05-13
- W 3-1 v OFI Crete 2026-05-10
From 482 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Volos NFC vs Olympiakos · FT 1–1