Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Aberdeen to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Aberdeen 48% at home, a draw 25% and Kilmarnock 27%, so its call is 1: Aberdeen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 23% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aberdeen and 1.2 for Kilmarnock; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Aberdeen
Attack 11th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Celtic 2026-09-02
- L 0-1 v Rangers 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Dundee 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 v Hearts 2026-08-01
- L 2-3 at Dundee 2026-05-17
Kilmarnock
Attack 6th of 12, defence 12th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 v St Mirren 2026-09-02
- L 0-4 v Dundee United 2026-08-29
- L 1-5 v Celtic 2026-08-09
- L 3-4 at St Johnstone 2026-08-02
- W 4-1 at Livingston 2026-05-17
From 481 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 5 Sep
- Dundee United vs Falkirk · FT 1–1
- Rangers vs Motherwell · FT 1–0
- St Mirren vs Celtic · FT 1–2