Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 4 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sparta Rotterdam to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Sparta Rotterdam 47% at home, a draw 27% and Zwolle 26%, so its call is 1: Sparta Rotterdam to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 25% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.2 for Zwolle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 16th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Excelsior 2026-08-29
- D 3-3 v Utrecht 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Telstar 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Feyenoord 2026-08-09
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-17
Zwolle
Attack 14th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Nijmegen 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Heerenveen 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 at Twente 2026-08-16
- L 0-2 v Ajax 2026-08-09
- L 0-2 v Feyenoord 2026-05-17
From 645 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.