Lyon vs Auxerre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Friday 4 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lyon to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Lyon 59% at home, a draw 23% and Auxerre 17%, so its call is 1: Lyon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 18% / 12%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lyon and 0.9 for Auxerre; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lyon
Attack 6th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Toulouse 2026-08-22
- L 0-4 v Lens 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Toulouse 2026-05-10
- W 4-2 v Rennes 2026-05-03
Auxerre
Attack 15th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Angers 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 at Lens 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Lille 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nice 2026-05-10
- W 3-1 v Angers 2026-05-03
From 631 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Fri 4 Sep
- Paris SG vs Monaco · FT 1–2