Ipswich vs Liverpool prediction
England Premier League · Friday 4 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Liverpool to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Ipswich 18% at home, a draw 20% and Liverpool 62%, so its call is 2: Liverpool to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 21% / 60%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich and 2.4 for Liverpool; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 70%. Careful: there is little recent data on Ipswich, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ipswich
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-5 at Man United 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 v Sunderland 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v West Ham 2025-05-25
- L 0-2 at Leicester 2025-05-18
- L 0-1 v Brentford 2025-05-10
Liverpool
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-05-24
- L 2-4 at Aston Villa 2026-05-15
- D 1-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-09
From 780 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.