Genoa vs Como prediction
Italy Serie A · Friday 4 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Como to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Genoa 19% at home, a draw 25% and Como 56%, so its call is 2: Como to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 17% / 25% / 58%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Genoa and 1.6 for Como; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Genoa
Attack 16th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Lazio 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Napoli 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Lecce 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Milan 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 at Fiorentina 2026-05-10
Como
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Napoli 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Udinese 2026-08-22
- W 4-1 at Cremonese 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Parma 2026-05-17
- W 1-0 at Verona 2026-05-10
From 780 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.