Brit Predictor

Luton vs Stockport prediction

England League One · Wednesday 2 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeLuton 2–0 StockportResult 1

Who wins?

LutonDrawStockport
Model 12 ✓
38%23%38%
Market 12 ✓
37%25%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Stockport to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Luton 38% at home, a draw 23% and Stockport 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 25% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Luton and 1.6 for Stockport; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 62%.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
GoalsOver 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score63%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Luton

Attack 4th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.

LDWWW
  • L 2-5 at Mansfield 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 v Notts County 2026-08-22
  • W 4-3 at Reading 2026-08-15
  • W 3-2 at Bolton 2026-05-02
  • W 2-1 v Barnsley 2026-04-25

Stockport

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

WLWWL
  • W 5-1 v Wycombe 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 v Blackpool 2026-08-22
  • W 3-1 at Plymouth 2026-08-15
  • W 3-1 at Barnsley 2026-05-02
  • L 1-2 v Port Vale 2026-04-28

From 1146 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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